SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aris Limassol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Limassol | Draw | BATE Borisov |
35.53% ( 0.1) | 27.15% ( 0.04) | 37.31% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.4% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45% ( -0.18) | 55% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( -0.15) | 76.27% ( 0.15) |
| Aris Limassol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( -0.03) | 29.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( -0.03) | 65.56% ( 0.03) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0.17) | 28.46% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( -0.22) | 64.22% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Limassol | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.31% |
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