SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Vitebsk |
31.07% ( -0.44) | 26.45% ( 0.01) | 42.49% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.94% ( -0.17) | 53.06% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.35% ( -0.15) | 74.65% ( 0.15) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% ( -0.39) | 31.52% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.09% ( -0.45) | 67.91% ( 0.46) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( 0.14) | 24.73% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( 0.2) | 59.29% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Vitebsk |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.07% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.49% |
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