SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a SC Paderborn win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | SC Paderborn |
66.97% ( -0.05) | 17.55% ( 0.13) | 15.48% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.95% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.88% ( -0.88) | 30.11% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.67% ( -1.07) | 51.33% ( 1.07) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.64% ( -0.24) | 8.36% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.9% ( -0.6) | 29.1% ( 0.6) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( -0.69) | 32.4% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( -0.78) | 68.91% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.74% Total : 66.97% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.55% | 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 15.48% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
