SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Monaco |
57.39% ( -1.57) | 20.25% ( 0.4) | 22.36% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 65.03% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.12% ( -0.37) | 31.88% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.57% ( -0.43) | 53.42% ( 0.43) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.86% ( -0.52) | 11.14% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.42% ( -1.15) | 35.58% ( 1.15) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( 0.76) | 26.81% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( 0.98) | 62.11% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.12)4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.39% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.8% Total : 22.36% |
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