SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Slovakia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ukraine | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Israel had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Israel win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Israel |
60.39% ( -0.87) | 22.24% ( 0.3) | 17.38% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.63% ( -0.3) | 48.38% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.27) | 70.52% ( 0.27) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.41% ( -0.39) | 15.59% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.44% ( -0.72) | 44.56% ( 0.72) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.6% ( 0.53) | 41.4% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.09% ( 0.46) | 77.91% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgium | Draw | Israel |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.2% Total : 60.37% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 17.38% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
