SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | -7 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 76.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 7.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (11.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Montenegro |
76.89% ( -0.03) | 15.29% ( 0.02) | 7.82% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.58% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% ( -0.02) | 41.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% ( -0.01) | 63.76% ( 0.01) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.04% ( -0.01) | 8.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.43% ( -0.03) | 30.57% ( 0.03) |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.77% ( 0.03) | 53.23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.21% ( 0.02) | 86.79% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgium | Draw | Montenegro |
| 2-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.5% 3-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 76.88% | 1-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 15.29% | 0-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)0-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 7.82% |
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