SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.87%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Feyenoord |
43.14% ( -0.51) | 22.39% ( 0.03) | 34.47% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 67.12% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.7% ( 0.02) | 33.3% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.93% ( 0.02) | 55.07% ( -0.02) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.84% ( -0.19) | 16.16% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.38% ( -0.35) | 45.62% ( 0.35) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( 0.26) | 19.94% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.91% ( 0.41) | 52.09% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 43.14% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.47% |
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