SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.65%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 5.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 4-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Portimonense |
83.65% ( -0.1) | 10.89% ( 0.12) | 5.45% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.83) | 28.84% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.22% ( -1.02) | 49.78% ( 1.02) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.05% ( -0.17) | 4.95% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.18% ( -0.5) | 19.82% ( 0.5) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.14% ( -0.76) | 50.86% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.75% ( -0.52) | 85.25% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Portimonense |
| 3-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.3)4-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.77% Total : 83.65% | 1-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.67% Total : 10.89% | 1-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.02% Total : 5.45% |
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