Portimonense have struggled to get going since the turn of the year, picking up five points from their last 27 available. Next up is an opposing side who appear to have hit their stride once again, claiming three wins and two draws from their last five games. Benfica boast a superior and more experienced crop of players and we predict they will make use of this advantage and come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
