SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Benin had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benin | Draw | Libya |
35.3% ( -0.44) | 27.95% ( 0.46) | 36.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.93% ( -1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.92% ( -1.79) | 58.08% ( 1.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.25% ( -1.43) | 78.75% ( 1.42) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -1.18) | 31.22% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% ( -1.39) | 67.56% ( 1.39) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( -0.89) | 30.31% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( -1.08) | 66.49% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benin | Draw | Libya |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.3% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.74% |
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