SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 41.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Libya had a probability of 28.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Libya |
41.42% ( 0.23) | 29.62% ( 0) | 28.96% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 41.82% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.08) | 64.86% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.2% ( -0.06) | 83.79% ( 0.06) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( 0.09) | 30.92% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% ( 0.1) | 67.22% ( -0.11) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.54% ( -0.23) | 39.45% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.85% ( -0.22) | 76.15% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Libya |
| 1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.62% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.95% |
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