SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benin | Draw | Rwanda |
48.79% ( 0.02) | 27.71% ( 0.02) | 23.5% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.9% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.4% ( -0.09) | 61.6% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.56% ( -0.06) | 81.44% ( 0.06) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( -0.03) | 25.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( -0.04) | 60.29% ( 0.03) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.56% ( -0.09) | 42.44% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.18% ( -0.08) | 78.81% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benin | Draw | Rwanda |
| 1-0 @ 14.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.5% |
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