SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.89%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.59%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Rwanda |
68.89% ( -0.14) | 21.16% ( -0) | 9.95% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 34.17% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.57% ( 0.32) | 58.43% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.97% ( 0.25) | 79.03% ( -0.25) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( 0.06) | 16.19% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.33% ( 0.12) | 45.67% ( -0.12) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.77% ( 0.49) | 59.23% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.75% ( 0.26) | 90.25% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Rwanda |
| 1-0 @ 17.46% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 15.89% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 68.89% | 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.12) 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.16% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.21% Total : 9.95% |
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