SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Benin had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Benin |
38.31% ( 0.76) | 25.41% ( 0.01) | 36.28% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( -0.07) | 47.56% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( -0.06) | 69.76% ( 0.06) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( 0.38) | 24.43% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.14% ( 0.53) | 58.86% ( -0.53) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.46) | 25.54% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( -0.64) | 60.4% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Benin |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.28% |
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