SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Swansea City |
51.5% ( -0.07) | 23.52% ( 0.02) | 24.98% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0.01) | 44.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( -0.01) | 66.79% ( 0.01) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( -0.03) | 17.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( -0.05) | 47.63% ( 0.05) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( 0.04) | 31.59% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% ( 0.04) | 68% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.86% Total : 51.5% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.98% |
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