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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
BC

Swansea
1 - 1
Bristol City

Cabango (15')
Naughton (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knight (76')
Mehmeti (55'), Sykes (90+2'), Wells (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Bristol City

Collecting seven points from an available nine at their South Wales base so far this season, Swansea should be confident of earning the derby bragging rights this weekend. Bristol City did well to stage a comeback and beat Oxford last time out, but we feel that the Robins' inconsistency could rear its ugly head once again at the Swansea.com Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
51.16% (0.193 0.19) 25.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)54.17% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.131 -0.13)75.58% (0.126 0.13)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.08% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.59% (-0.267 -0.27)38.4% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (-0.257 -0.26)75.16% (0.25500000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.15%
    Bristol City 23.31%
    Draw 25.52%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Norwich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Wycombe
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Cardiff
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Preston
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 4-3 Millwall
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Coventry
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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