SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Swansea City |
50.71% ( -0.31) | 22.47% ( 0.04) | 26.82% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 62.11% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.06% ( 0.04) | 37.94% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.8% ( 0.04) | 60.2% ( -0.04) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( -0.09) | 15.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.17% ( -0.17) | 43.83% ( 0.17) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0.21) | 26.76% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( 0.28) | 62.04% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 4% Total : 50.71% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.82% |
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