SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 78.16%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 7.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.94%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
78.16% ( -1.23) | 14.21% ( 0.74) | 7.63% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 45.75% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.3% ( -1.76) | 36.7% ( 1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.13% ( -1.94) | 58.87% ( 1.94) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.41% ( -0.64) | 7.59% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.85% ( -1.68) | 27.15% ( 1.68) |
| Nacional Potosi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.51% ( 0.02) | 50.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.01% ( 0.02) | 84.99% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
| 2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.52)2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.23)5-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.19)6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.57% Total : 78.15% | 1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.65% Total : 14.21% | 0-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.71% Total : 7.63% |
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