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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
FL

Bologna
2 - 1
Frosinone

Ferguson (19'), De Silvestri (22')
Aebischer (59'), Zirkzee (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Soule (63' pen.)
Mazzitelli (87')
Mazzitelli (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone

As Frosinone have scored only once in their away fixtures so far, it is some fine home form that has seen them occupy a spot in Serie A's top half. On the road they have proved more vulnerable, so Bologna can pick up maximum points and leapfrog their visitors in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bologna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bologna.

Result
BolognaDrawFrosinone
42.12% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 27.02% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 30.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.62%55.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42%76.58% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.97% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.98% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.42% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 42.12%
    Frosinone 30.86%
    Draw 27.02%
BolognaDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.12%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 30.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Empoli
Sunday, October 1 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-0 Bologna
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-0 Bologna
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Frosinone
Sunday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone
Friday, September 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-0 Frosinone
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A


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