SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Fiorentina |
27.11% ( 0.44) | 24.96% ( 0.43) | 47.94% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% ( -1.5) | 48.95% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( -1.37) | 71.04% ( 1.37) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( -0.45) | 32.31% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.19% ( -0.51) | 68.81% ( 0.51) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( -0.96) | 20.45% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( -1.54) | 52.91% ( 1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.11% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.93% |
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