SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Bologna |
45.25% ( -0.93) | 25.24% ( -0.13) | 29.51% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( 1.12) | 48.73% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( 1.01) | 70.84% ( -1.01) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( 0.05) | 21.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.39% ( 0.08) | 54.61% ( -0.08) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( 1.35) | 30.41% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% ( 1.58) | 66.6% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.51% |
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