Bologna will fancy their chances of extending their winning run to five against a side embroiled in relegation trouble, as Verona come into the fixture with just one victory in 2024.
Only four points separate Verona and the five teams above them, so the relegation battle remains wide open in Serie A, but they need wins urgently to pull themselves up the table, and this looks like a difficult task.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bologna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bologna.
-0.18) 
0.07) 
