As Bologna generally struggle to score more than once in 90 minutes, they may not possess enough guile to take full advantage of Verona's vulnerabilities at the back. Meanwhile, the visitors are still adapting to life after Giovanni Simeone, so are reduced in firepower themselves.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
1.26) 
-0.13) 
