Bologna will enter this match in much the better form, and although the hosts will make multiple changes from their strongest side, we are still expecting Motta's team to advance to the next round of the competition courtesy of a comfortable success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bologna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bologna.
-0.28) 
0.06) 
