SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Portsmouth |
50.51% ( 0.11) | 22.54% ( -0) | 26.94% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.77% ( -0.07) | 38.22% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.5% ( -0.08) | 60.5% ( 0.08) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( 0.01) | 15.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.85% ( 0.02) | 44.14% ( -0.02) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( -0.11) | 26.82% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.87% ( -0.15) | 62.12% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.51% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.94% |
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