SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
37.92% ( 6.93) | 26.57% ( 0.17) | 35.51% ( -7.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.34% ( 0.26) | 52.66% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% ( 0.22) | 74.3% ( -0.22) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( 4.5) | 27% ( -4.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% ( 5.54) | 62.35% ( -5.54) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( -3.81) | 28.42% ( 3.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( -5.06) | 64.17% ( 5.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 1.09) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 1.02)2-0 @ 6.58% ( 1.41)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.82)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.88)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.38)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.37)Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.92% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -1.21) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.85)0-2 @ 6.07% ( -1.55)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.78)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -1.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.39)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.51% |
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