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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
61.47% ( 1.63) | 21.64% ( -0.03) | 16.88% ( -1.59) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( -3.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -2.44) | 46.68% ( 2.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -2.33) | 68.95% ( 2.33) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% ( -0.29) | 14.67% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.17% ( -0.56) | 42.82% ( 0.56) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59% ( -3.32) | 41% ( 3.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.45% ( -3.1) | 77.55% ( 3.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 1.04) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.89)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.32)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.49% Total : 61.46% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.45)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.27)Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.88% |
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