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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Borough Briggs
D

Elgin
0 - 1
Dumbarton


Draper (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wallace (45+2')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Elgin City and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forfar 2-1 Elgin
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-4 Rangers
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dumbarton in this match.

Result
Elgin CityDrawDumbarton
30.09% (0.046000000000003 0.05) 24.71% (0.012 0.01) 45.2% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)46.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57% (-0.029 -0.03)68.43% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (0.016000000000005 0.02)28.68% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5% (0.018999999999998 0.02)64.5% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)20.49% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)52.97% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 30.09%
    Dumbarton 45.2%
    Draw 24.7%
Elgin CityDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 30.09%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forfar 2-1 Elgin
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 2-1 Stranraer
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 2-1 Peterhead
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 0-4 Spartans
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: East Fife 4-0 Elgin
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-4 Rangers
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 3-1 Dumbarton
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-2 East Fife
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 4-4 Clyde
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 2-4 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two


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