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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
EF

Dortmund
3 - 1
Frankfurt

Adeyemi (33'), Hummels (81'), Can (90+3' pen.)
Can (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gotze (13')
Buta (80'), Koch (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 PSV
Wednesday, March 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt

These sides have lost just once each in nine league games apiece since returning from the winter break in January, so we expect to witness a high quality affair when they meet on Sunday. Ordinarily, we would make Dortmund favourites to win this match, but Frankfurt will be fresher having already been eliminated from continental competition. We can envisage both teams being content with sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawEintracht Frankfurt
52.51% (-0.357 -0.36) 21.77% (0.148 0.15) 25.72% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 63.55% (-0.326 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)35.57% (0.519 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.37% (-0.576 -0.58)57.63% (0.576 0.58)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23% (-0.292 -0.29)13.77% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.93% (-0.579 -0.58)41.07% (0.58000000000001 0.58)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (-0.127 -0.13)26.3% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (-0.169 -0.17)61.43% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 52.51%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 25.72%
    Draw 21.77%
Borussia DortmundDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 52.51%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.77%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.052 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 PSV
Wednesday, March 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, March 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-2 Wolfsburg
Sunday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Union SG
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Frankfurt
Sunday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union SG 2-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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