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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
DL

Frankfurt
3 - 3
Dortmund

Marmoush (8' pen., 24'), Chaibi (68')
Marmoush (41'), Buta (45+8'), Pacho (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sabitzer (45+1'), Moukoko (54'), Brandt (82')
Ozcan (11'), Adeyemi (76'), Terzic (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 6-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Although Dortmund could be missing a few key players through injury if they can not recover in time for this match, Terzic's side have real momentum on their side at present, as well as decent squad depth to cope with some absentees. Frankfurt have improved themselves in recent weeks, but they do not possess as much quality as they have done in recent years, and we can envisage the visitors claiming another narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
47.74% (0.168 0.17) 22.04% (0.158 0.16) 30.21% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 66.4% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (-0.971 -0.97)33.42% (0.973 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.79% (-1.119 -1.12)55.21% (1.121 1.12)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.304 -0.3)14.55% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-0.589 -0.59)42.6% (0.592 0.59)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)22.29% (0.669 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (-1.014 -1.01)55.74% (1.015 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 47.75%
    Borussia Dortmund 30.21%
    Draw 22.04%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.087 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.249 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.24% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 6-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, October 8 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, September 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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