SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ukraine in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Ukraine |
42.34% ( -0.52) | 25.18% ( 0.2) | 32.47% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( -0.8) | 47.26% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( -0.75) | 69.49% ( 0.75) |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -0.59) | 22.26% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% ( -0.89) | 55.71% ( 0.89) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( -0.19) | 27.68% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.77% ( -0.25) | 63.23% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.47% |
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