SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ukraine | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Malta | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ukraine | Draw | Malta |
43.93% ( -19.35) | 21.71% ( -1.05) | 34.36% ( 20.39) |
| Both teams to score 69.78% ( 28.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.16% ( 26.16) | 29.83% ( -26.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.01% ( 26.09) | 50.99% ( -26.1) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.5% ( 2.76) | 14.5% ( -2.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.5% ( 5.08) | 42.49% ( -5.08) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( 32.25) | 18.38% ( -32.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.48% ( 35.58) | 49.52% ( -35.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ukraine | Draw | Malta |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.76) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 5.15% ( -10.2)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -8.51)3-2 @ 4.59% ( 2.76)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -4.7)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 1.41)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -1.93)4-3 @ 1.25% ( 1.07)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -1.72) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 4.01)0-0 @ 2.66% ( -6.07)3-3 @ 2.59% ( 2.18)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 3.83) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -1.43)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 3.36)2-3 @ 4.03% ( 3.32)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1.8)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1.7)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 1.63)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1.58)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 1.03)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.84)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
