SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Atletico Junior |
63.22% ( -0.9) | 21.85% ( 0.29) | 14.93% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 45.49% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( 0.03) | 50.93% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% ( 0.03) | 72.81% ( -0.03) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( -0.28) | 15.52% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% ( -0.53) | 44.43% ( 0.53) |
| Atletico Junior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.85% ( 0.92) | 46.15% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.16% ( 0.7) | 81.84% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botafogo | Draw | Atletico Junior |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.26)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 63.22% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.27% Total : 14.93% |
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