Botafogo have made a bright start to the new season and have the wind in their sails heading into this weekend's contest. We can see them carrying the day here, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
39.51% ( -0.15)	27.62% ( -0.06)	32.87% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 48.58% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.89% (

0.25)

57.11% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.02% (

0.2)

77.98% (

-0.2)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.8% (

0.04)

28.2% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.1% (

0.05)

63.89% (

-0.05)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66% (

0.27)

32.34% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15% (

0.31)

68.84% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 39.51%

Atletico Mineiro 32.86%

Draw 27.61%

Botafogo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.51%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.86%