Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
0.35) 
-0.4) 
