Botafogo's availability issues, allied to their struggles in the final third, make Atletico a far more settled unit ahead of Sunday's game. Therefore, expect the champions to overcome their promoted rivals; keeping the pressure up on future Libertadores opponents Palmeiras at the top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
27.39% ( -0.91)	25.92% ( -0.48)	46.69% ( 1.39)

Both teams to score 51.06% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.3% (

1.37)

52.7% (

-1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.66% (

1.16)

74.34% (

-1.16)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93% (

0.01)

34.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.24% (

0.02)

70.76% (

-0.02)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45% (

1.24)

22.55% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.86% (

1.81)

56.14% (

-1.82)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 27.39%

Atletico Mineiro 46.69%

Draw 25.92%

Botafogo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 27.39%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.69%