Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Bragantino
41.95% ( 0.72)	27.11% ( 0.04)	30.94% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 49.47% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.31% (

-0.37)

55.69% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.16% (

-0.3)

76.84% (

0.3)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

0.21)

26.2% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.7% (

0.28)

61.3% (

-0.29)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

-0.73)

32.96% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

-0.81)

69.54% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 41.94%

Bragantino 30.94%

Draw 27.1%

Botafogo	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.94%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.94%