Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 8.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.46%) and 3-0 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.05) 
