SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Crystal Palace |
52.3% ( -0.06) | 23.9% ( -0.02) | 23.8% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% ( 0.16) | 47.2% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% ( 0.15) | 69.43% ( -0.15) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( 0.04) | 18.02% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.1% ( 0.06) | 48.9% ( -0.06) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( 0.16) | 34.1% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( 0.17) | 70.79% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.3% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 23.8% |
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