SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Everton had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Everton |
53.24% ( -0.05) | 23.21% ( 0.01) | 23.55% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% ( -0.02) | 44.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% ( -0.02) | 66.83% ( 0.02) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( -0.02) | 16.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.47% ( -0.04) | 46.53% ( 0.04) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( 0.02) | 32.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( 0.02) | 69.38% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.24% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.2% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 23.55% |
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