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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Selhurst Park
CL
Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Chelsea
Lerma (30')
Lerma (70'), Munoz (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gallagher (47', 90+1'), Fernandez (90+4')
Jackson (90+4'), Disasi (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawChelsea
35.73% (-0.527 -0.53) 25.18% (0.087 0.09) 39.09% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 57.02% (-0.358 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.43% (-0.438 -0.44)46.57% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.411 -0.41)68.85% (0.411 0.41)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (-0.501 -0.5)25.39% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-0.689 -0.69)60.2% (0.69 0.69)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (0.033000000000001 0.03)23.58% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (0.048000000000002 0.05)57.64% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 35.73%
    Chelsea 39.09%
    Draw 25.17%
Crystal PalaceDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.166 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 39.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 4-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-2 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, January 30 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Everton
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Brentford
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 2-4 Wolves
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Aston Villa
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 6-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Fulham
Saturday, January 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

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