SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Chelsea |
35.73% ( -0.53) | 25.18% ( 0.09) | 39.09% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% ( -0.44) | 46.57% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( -0.41) | 68.85% ( 0.41) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( -0.5) | 25.39% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( -0.69) | 60.2% ( 0.69) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.42% ( 0.03) | 23.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% ( 0.05) | 57.64% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.09% |
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