SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Luton Town |
57.33% ( -0.03) | 21.57% ( 0.04) | 21.1% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.1% ( -0.17) | 39.9% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.74% ( -0.18) | 62.26% ( 0.19) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.27% ( -0.07) | 13.73% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.01% ( -0.14) | 41% ( 0.14) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( -0.1) | 32.48% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( -0.11) | 69.01% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 57.33% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.1% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
