Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Luton Town |
57.33% (![]() | 21.57% (![]() | 21.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.1% (![]() | 39.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.74% (![]() | 62.26% (![]() |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.27% (![]() | 13.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.01% (![]() | 41% (![]() |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.52% (![]() | 32.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.99% (![]() | 69.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Luton Town |
2-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.36% Total : 57.33% | 1-1 @ 9.96% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 5.6% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.1% |
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