Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Brazil | Draw | Colombia |
51.49% ( -0.98) | 24.6% ( -0.02) | 23.91% ( 1) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( 1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.99% ( 1.01) | 50.01% ( -1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.01% ( 0.89) | 71.99% ( -0.89) |
Brazil Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% ( 0) | 19.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.77% ( 0) | 51.23% ( -0) |
Colombia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.45% ( 1.47) | 35.54% ( -1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.69% ( 1.49) | 72.31% ( -1.49) |
Score Analysis |
Brazil | Draw | Colombia |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 51.49% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.91% |
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