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Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2024 at 2am UK
Levi's Stadium
CN

Brazil
1 - 1
Colombia

Raphinha (12')
Junior (7'), Gomes (27'), Guimaraes (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Munoz (45+2')
Machado (25'), Lerma (27')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-4 Brazil
Saturday, June 29 at 2am in Copa America
All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 3-0 Costa Rica
Friday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa America

We said: Brazil 1-1 Colombia

Both sides might be thinking long-term, with the Colombians already qualified for the next round, while Brazil have the inside track on second place, three points above Costa Rica with a +3 goal differential and Los Ticos at -3. Neither team want to risk injuries nor suspensions, so we expect a cagey but entertaining affair with some quality youngsters on each side eager to impress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BrazilDrawColombia
51.49% (-0.979 -0.98) 24.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 23.91% (0.997 1)
Both teams to score 51.94% (1.187 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (1.009 1.01)50.01% (-1.007 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (0.892 0.89)71.99% (-0.89099999999999 -0.89)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (1.471 1.47)35.54% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (1.491 1.49)72.31% (-1.49 -1.49)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 51.49%
    Colombia 23.91%
    Draw 24.59%
BrazilDrawColombia
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.383 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.49%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.192 0.19)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.142 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Paraguay 1-4 Brazil
Saturday, June 29 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Brazil 0-0 Costa Rica
Tuesday, June 25 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: USA 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, June 13 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Brazil
Sunday, June 9 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 3-3 Brazil
Tuesday, March 26 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England 0-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 3-0 Costa Rica
Friday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
Monday, June 24 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 3-0 Bolivia
Saturday, June 15 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-5 Colombia
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 3-2 Romania
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 0-1 Colombia
Friday, March 22 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies


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