Despite keeping successive clean sheets in Europe, Leverkusen have conceded 13 goals in their first seven league games, while Brest have already proven their potential on the counter-attack.
Les Pirates could breach their visitors' defence, then, but Xabi Alonso's free-flowing side have all the weaponry required to score at least twice at Stade Roudourou.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
