Brest's form to finish 2023 was phenomenal, and they have an excellent opportunity to pick up where they left off with a home clash here against a Montpellier side who have flattered to deceive this season.
With many players away at AFCON and the Asian Cup too, Montpellier may have a tricky few weeks ahead, and despite the two incredible results on their last two visits here, that trend may end this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
0.25) 
-0.06) 
