Although Brest have drawn four of their last five games, they will be confident of dispatching Montpellier, having crushed Angers 4-0 at the end of January.
By contrast, Montpellier have lost six of their previous seven matches across all competitions, so the hosts look set to suffer another defeat at the hands of the resurgent Pirates.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.64) 
0.08) 
