SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
72.34% ( 0.88) | 16.42% ( -0.29) | 11.25% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.7% ( -0.28) | 35.3% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.68% ( -0.31) | 57.32% ( 0.3) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.49% ( 0.13) | 8.51% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.51% ( 0.31) | 29.48% ( -0.31) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% ( -1.19) | 41.95% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.6% ( -1.05) | 78.39% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.28)1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 72.33% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.42% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.33% Total : 11.25% |
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