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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Emirates Stadium
BL

Arsenal
2 - 0
Brighton

Jesus (53'), Havertz (87')
White (38'), Arteta (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitoma (43'), Gilmour (76'), Gross (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
67.46% (1.814 1.81) 17.44% (-0.365 -0.37) 15.09% (-1.451 -1.45)
Both teams to score 61.34% (-2.253 -2.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.56% (-1.259 -1.26)30.43% (1.257 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.28% (-1.522 -1.52)51.71% (1.521 1.52)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (0.054999999999993 0.05)8.33% (-0.057 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.95% (0.136 0.14)29.05% (-0.138 -0.14)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (-2.5 -2.5)33.07% (2.498 2.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (-2.863 -2.86)69.67% (2.862 2.86)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 67.46%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 15.09%
    Draw 17.44%
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.51% (0.632 0.63)
3-1 @ 7.8% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 7.05% (0.541 0.54)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.492 0.49)
4-1 @ 4.84% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.38% (0.347 0.35)
3-2 @ 4.31% (-0.254 -0.25)
4-2 @ 2.68% (-0.15 -0.15)
5-1 @ 2.41% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.18% (0.178 0.18)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.071 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1% (0.019 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-0 @ 0.9% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 67.46%
1-1 @ 7.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-0 @ 2.76% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.213 -0.21)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.44%
1-2 @ 4.19% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 15.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 3-4 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Marseille
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Brighton
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-1 Brighton
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League


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