SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
66.75% ( 0.96) | 19.95% ( -0.46) | 13.3% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 47.16% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( 0.86) | 46.42% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0.8) | 68.7% ( -0.8) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% ( 0.55) | 12.99% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.5% ( 1.1) | 39.5% ( -1.1) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.2% ( -0.23) | 45.8% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.43% ( -0.18) | 81.56% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 66.75% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.95% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.19% Total : 13.3% |
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