SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
29.95% ( 0.08) | 23.39% ( -0.11) | 46.66% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.22% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.84% ( 0.61) | 40.16% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.47% ( 0.62) | 62.53% ( -0.62) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( 0.36) | 25.79% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% ( 0.48) | 60.74% ( -0.47) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( 0.25) | 17.5% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.99% ( 0.43) | 48.01% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.95% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.93% Total : 46.66% |
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